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Effects of the US withdrawal from Paris Agreement on the carbon emission space and cost of China and
Hancheng DAI, Yang XIE, Haibin ZHANG, Zhongjue YU, Wentao WANG
《能源前沿（英文）》 2018年 第12卷 第3期 页码 362-375 doi: 10.1007/s11708-018-0574-y
Climate mitigation has become a global issue and most countries have promised their greenhouse gas reduction target. However, after Trump took office as president of the United States (US), the US withdrew from the Paris Agreement. As the biggest economy, this would have impacts on the emission space of other countries. This paper, by using the integrated model of energy, environment and economy/computable general equilibrium (IMED/CGE) model, assesses the impacts of the US withdrawal from Paris Agreement on China, India in terms of carbon emission space and mitigation cost under Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and 2°C scenarios due to changed emission pathway of the US. The results show that, under the condition of constant global cumulative carbon emissions and fixed burden sharing scheme among the countries, the failure of the US to honor its NDC commitment will increase its carbon emission space and decrease its mitigation cost. However, the carbon emission space of other regions, including China and India, will be reduced and their mitigation costs will be raised. In 2030, under the 2°C target, the carbon price will increase by US$14.3 to US$45.3/t in China and by US$10.7 to US$33.9/t in India. In addition, China and India will incur additional GDP loss. Under the 2°C target, the GDP loss of China would increase by US$23.3 to US$72.6 billion (equivalent to US$17.4 to US$54.2/capita), and that of India would rise by US$14.2 to US$43.1 billion (equivalent to US$9.3 to US$28.2/capita).
关键词： Paris Agreement China and India the US withdrawal carbon emission space mitigation cost
Responding to the Paris Climate Agreement: global climate change mitigation efforts
Yong GENG, Tsuyoshi FUJITA, Anthony CHIU, Hancheng DAI, Han HAO
《能源前沿（英文）》 2018年 第12卷 第3期 页码 333-337 doi: 10.1007/s11708-018-0587-6
Tackling climate change and promoting the energy revolution
Xiangwan DU
《能源前沿（英文）》 2018年 第12卷 第3期 页码 338-343 doi: 10.1007/s11708-018-0535-5
Following the Paris Agreement, green and low-carbon development has entered into a new stage. China’s international responsibility to combat climate change is consistent with the inherent sustainable development needs of the country. In this paper, the reasonability of China’s Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDC) is examined and the fact that low-carbon development can lead to modernization is demonstrated based on data analysis of energy economics from developed countries. Considering the fact that such an energy revolution forms the basis for China’s low-carbon transition, a roadmap of the China’s energy utilization is presented. Based on research results from the Chinese Academy of Engineering, the three historical stages of China’s energy structure reform are analyzed. Promoting a low-carbon transition through an energy revolution is a long-term and arduous process that requires a genuine transformation of development outlook and patterns. By empirically analyzing situations at home and abroad, a conclusion is made that economic development and a low-carbon transition can be achieved simultaneously; specifically, low-carbon development fosters new points of economic growth and gives rise to different development paths.
关键词： climate change Paris Agreement low-carbon transition energy revolution
How diplomacy saved the COP21 Paris Climate Conference, but now, can we save ourselves?
D. Nathaniel MULCAHY, David L. MULCAHY
《能源前沿（英文）》 2018年 第12卷 第3期 页码 344-352 doi: 10.1007/s11708-017-0498-y
To solve a problem, three things are necessary: awareness, means, and will. The 2015 COP21 Paris accord was a masterful, perhaps even world-saving, diplomatic advance toward making the world aware of climate change. Some of that success may have been because publications from the IPCC and the National Academy of Science were made available, on line, as prepublication offerings, in order to be widely viewed before the Paris Climate Conference. This provided diplomats and negotiators with the latest information about climate change, its nearness in time, its consequences, and how well current mitigation technologies can succeed. Whatever the reasons, the Paris Climate Conference, was a success. Leaders of 195 nations agreed that climate change is a real and present danger to life as is known to all. This important understanding was accomplished despite the presentation of well established scientific facts which, without very diplomatic handling, could easily have evoked overwhelming political opposition to an agreement and thus another COP failure. In this paper, the fact that how some scientific truths, written specifically to be overlooked, were presented in order to prepare COP21 participants for the conference is explained. Besides, the effectiveness and efficiency of currently favored mitigation policies, the extent of ongoing progress to better ones, and finally, how a new appreciation of climate change consequences can strengthen the will of nation states and industries to work toward solutions are evaluated.
Situation and measures of China’s CO
Jiankun HE
《能源前沿（英文）》 2018年 第12卷 第3期 页码 353-361 doi: 10.1007/s11708-018-0564-0
Global response to climate change has entered the phase of full implementation of the Paris Agreement. To control the global temperature rise below 2°C, all countries must make more efforts to reduce emission. China has combined its goal of emission reduction for combating climate change with its domestic sustainable development strategy to promote energy revolution and the transition of economic development to low-carbon patterns. Through reinforcing the commitment and action before 2020, the CO2 intensity of GDP can decrease by more than 50% by 2020 compared with that of 2005, and the external commitment target of a 40%–45% decrease can be over fulfilled. Currently, under the new economic normal, China further strengthens the policy measure, vigorously saves energy, enhances energy use efficiency and the economic output benefit, and simultaneously develops new and renewable energy and accelerates energy structural decarbonization, so that the annual decrease rate of the CO2 intensity of GDP keeps a high level of more than 4% and remains increasing. Thus, the decrease rate of the CO2 intensity of GDP will exceed the GDP growth rate, and then CO2 emission will peak around 2030. This will promote the fundamental turning of economic development mode, and lay a foundation for the establishment of a sustainable energy system with near-zero emissions and with new and renewable energy as the main body in the second half of this century. China implements the concept of green low-carbon development and accelerates the low carbon transition of energy and economy to achieve win-win results in economic growth and CO2 emission mitigation, and these policies and actions will also provide experiences for many other developing countries. On the other hand, China will continue to play a positive and constructive leading role in the implementation of the Paris Agreement internationally, and promote the construction of new mechanisms of win-win cooperation, fairness and justice and common development for global climate governance. Moreover, China will make an effort to build a community of common destiny for mankind, promote pragmatic cooperation among countries, especially among developing countries, and take combating climate change as a new development opportunity for jointly moving toward climate-friendly low-carbon economic development path.
关键词： climate change the Paris Agreement energy revolution NDC (national determined contribution) goals
Zhaoyang LIU, Xianqiang MAO, Wei TANG, Tao HU, Peng SONG
《环境科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2012年 第6卷 第6期 页码 849-859 doi: 10.1007/s11783-012-0432-9
关键词： Free Trade Agreement Strategic Environmental Assessment Chain Reaction Assessment Method Computable General Equilibrium model Global Trade Analysis Project
高云, 高翔, 张晓华
《工程（英文）》 2017年 第3卷 第2期 页码 272-278 doi: 10.1016/J.ENG.2017.01.022
《巴黎协定》提出把全球平均地表气温升幅控制在较工业化前水平的2°C 之内，并努力限制在1.5°C之内。这是第一个使“全球2°C 温升目标”具备法律效力的国际条约，《联合国气候变化框架公约》第二条关于最终目标的定性表述，至此演进为《巴黎协定》第二条包含具体数值的全球温升目标。从政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC) 第二次评估开始，为《联合国气候变化框架公约》谈判提供有助于确定定量化长期目标的科学信息就成为后续历次评估的重要任务，但由于涉及非科学评估范畴的价值判断，IPCC 从未从科学上认定全球升温到何种程度是不可接受的。应对气候变化长期目标的确定经历了长期的过程，“全球2°C 温升目标”是建立在科学评估基础上的一个政治共识。本文从“全球2°C 温升目标”的由来、IPCC 围绕《联合国气候变化框架公约》第二条开展的系列评估，以及不同政治层面对温升目标的推动等几个方面，分析了国际应对气候变化长期目标的演进过程，及其对未来科学评估、谈判进程和全球低碳发展走向的影响。
关键词： 气候变化 国际谈判 政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC) 《联合国气候变化框架公约》(UNFCCC) 长期目标 关键脆弱性 制度建设
Modeling and simulation of biomass air-steam gasification in a fluidized bed
KONG Xiaoying, WU Chuangzhi, YUAN Zhenhong, MA Longlong, CHANG Jie, LÜ Pengmei
《化学科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2008年 第2卷 第2期 页码 209-213 doi: 10.1007/s11705-008-0039-7
关键词： satisfactory agreement two-phase mathematical one-dimensional pyrolysis calculated
LU Chunxi, LI Ruxin, SHI Mingxian, LIU Xiancheng
《化学科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2008年 第2卷 第4期 页码 462-467 doi: 10.1007/s11705-008-0068-2
关键词： catalytic cracking separation efficiency tangential velocity agreement magnitude
文亮,瓮晶波,何继善
《中国工程科学》 2007年 第9卷 第8期 页码 15-20
英国模式和美国模式是国际上两种典型的注册工程师制度模式，世界上一些经济发达国家已经建立了以注册工程师制度为基础的工程师资格互认协议，这些国际工程师协议以受教育程度、工作经验、资格考试、继续教育一致性为基础。国家人事部在不同的阶段实行过多种工程师管理制度，为适应我国经济发展做了有益的尝试，在试行执业资格注册制度方面也已经进行了多年富有成效的探索，积累了较丰富的经验。文章认为我国新的工程师专业分类的原则主要是：既符合我国国情又能与国际接轨。我国工程师专业分类应在与国际工程师互认的基础性原则相一致的前提下，充分考虑我国现有工程师专业分类情况，尽可能与国际工程师专业分类融合，根据其是否直接涉及社会公众利益和公民生命财产安全，我国新的工程师专业可分为注册和非注册两大类。在借鉴英美国家工程师专业分类的同时，结合我国国情，通过尽可能不重复、不遗漏的综合我国现有一系列职业分类与学科分类代码表，我国工程技术人员按专业可以分成35类，有个别大类可以在大类的基础上再分若干亚类，并提出根据工程师分类构筑工程管理师认证体系的建议。
Fatigue crack growth simulations of 3-D linear elastic cracks under thermal load by XFEM
Himanshu PATHAK,Akhilendra SINGH,I.V. SINGH,S. K. YADAV
《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2015年 第9卷 第4期 页码 359-382 doi: 10.1007/s11709-015-0304-z
一种用于判断分布式网络中故障节点的自主故障诊断及决策算法 Article
Adel KHOSRAVI,Yousef SEIFI KAVIAN
《信息与电子工程前沿（英文）》 2016年 第17卷 第9期 页码 885-896 doi: 10.1631/FITEE.1500176
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《医学前沿（英文）》 2017年 第11卷 第4期 页码 528-535 doi: 10.1007/s11684-017-0573-0
The prevalence of tuberculosis infection among adolescents born after terminating the Bacillus Calmette–Guérin (BCG) booster vaccination in China was estimated using tuberculin skin testing (TST) and QuantiFERON-TB Gold assay (QFT) to investigate the influence of neonatal BCG vaccination on the performance of TST. Data analysis was conducted for 2831 eligible participants aged 5–15 years from the baseline survey of a population-based multi-center prospective study. The prevalence rates of TST (induration≥10 mm) and QFT positivity were 9.3% (264/2827) and 2.5% (71/2831), respectively. The rate of QFT indeterminate result was 2.2% (62/2831). The overall agreement between TST and QFT was low (concordance= 88.0%; κ coefficient= 0.125). Only TST was positively associated with BCG vaccination with an adjusted odds ratio of 1.71 [95% confidence interval, 1.26–2.31]. A history of close contact with patients of active TB was significantly associated with positivity for TST and QFT. Our results suggested that BCG neonatal vaccination still affects TST performance, and a two-step approach might be considered for TB infection testing among adolescents in China.
关键词： tuberculin skin test interferon-γ release assays adolescent agreement
LNG总买总卖模式上下游天然气销售合同商务架构搭建与风险传递
王家祥,罗伟中,陈翔,赵瑞聪,孙前,慕琦,王曦
《中国工程科学》 2011年 第13卷 第5期 页码 98-102
在总买总卖模式下中海油气电集团国际贸易公司通过下游天然气销售合同条款的安排，使得在商务架构上中海油气电集团国际贸易公司成为上下游合同承上启下的合同主体，并保持了上下游合同的一致性且最大程度地减低中海油气电集团国际贸易公司的法律风险，做到风险无缝传递。
标题 作者 时间 类型 操作
Effects of the US withdrawal from Paris Agreement on the carbon emission space and cost of China and
Hancheng DAI, Yang XIE, Haibin ZHANG, Zhongjue YU, Wentao WANG
期刊论文
Responding to the Paris Climate Agreement: global climate change mitigation efforts
Yong GENG, Tsuyoshi FUJITA, Anthony CHIU, Hancheng DAI, Han HAO
期刊论文
How diplomacy saved the COP21 Paris Climate Conference, but now, can we save ourselves?
D. Nathaniel MULCAHY, David L. MULCAHY
期刊论文
An assessment of China-Japan-Korea Free Trade Agreement’s economic and environmental impacts on China
Zhaoyang LIU, Xianqiang MAO, Wei TANG, Tao HU, Peng SONG
期刊论文
Modeling and simulation of biomass air-steam gasification in a fluidized bed
KONG Xiaoying, WU Chuangzhi, YUAN Zhenhong, MA Longlong, CHANG Jie, LÜ Pengmei
期刊论文
Gas-solids separation model of a novel FCC riser terminator device: super short quick separator (SSQS)
LU Chunxi, LI Ruxin, SHI Mingxian, LIU Xiancheng
期刊论文
Fatigue crack growth simulations of 3-D linear elastic cracks under thermal load by XFEM
Himanshu PATHAK,Akhilendra SINGH,I.V. SINGH,S. K. YADAV
期刊论文
Testing of tuberculosis infection among Chinese adolescents born after terminating the Bacillus Calmette--Guérin booster vaccination: subgroup analysis of a population-based cross-sectional study
null
期刊论文
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